Given the massive
popularity of the NFL, it's not surprising that the sport is shrouded in
so much betting misunderstanding and misconception. One point is important:
your betting experience, I am sure that these myths had got you to lose
your bets and your money. So let's try to separate betting myth from
reality and never lose a money on it again.
Myth #1: Betting lines were created to beat the public.
Except for the Super Bowl, almost all other roles are played by the public
in the line making process. The betting line is created and adjusted to
Meet the professional gamblers, because they are the ones who will give their opinion.
casual fan, who bets serious money on the game.
Myth #2: Balanced action is possible with betting lines
The goal is to create a line of betting that is equal in value.
It is rare for underdog and favorite players to attract each other.
that way. A third of the games on an NFL schedule are more common.
Have a small amount of gambling to be a problem?
Another third of the participants will be able to place active, balanced wagers and the remainder
third will have mostly one-way action. How the house was traditionally built is what matters.
fares on these lopsided games, called "decisions," determines whether
books win or lose.
Myth #3: Bookmakers have inside information that they use to establish "trap" games.
Nowadays, with nearly everyone having access to the Internet, it's not
It's not so much about the information, but how it is interpreted. Bookmakers
You may still occasionally be able to receive information about injuries or
Weather changes are not something that players can control, but technology has made it possible.
Sometimes, measurements can be made in seconds. A bookmaker could find a bookmaker many years ago.
He might offer some valuable data to try and lure the bettor.
the "wrong" side. These days are over as insider information has all but eliminated them.
ceased to exist and there is no such thing as a "trap" game.
Myth #4: Bettors have an advantage early in the season, because bookmakers and odds makers need to evaluate the teams more thoroughly.
More hours are spent analyzing the opening week of the NFL season than
any other is. A detailed, in-depth assessment of NFL teams begins more
than a month before the opening kickoff. It's true that some teams do not have the time to prepare for kickoff.
often do not tip their hand during the preseason or against weak,
non-divisional foes, players are in no better position to uncover this
Bookmakers are more susceptible to deception than bookmakers. The first six weeks of the historical period were the most important.
season have been very kind to bookmakers. This is probably more than luck.
Myth #5: Professional gamblers pick their spots, betting just a couple of games a weekend.
Actually, sophisticated gamblers bet a lot of games. Think of it this
way: If you're a successful gambler, why risk serious money on just a
There are very few games in which a mistake or an official's call could make you lose.
The wider the net is tossed, the less of a factor luck becomes in the
Myth #6: Wiseguys bet more on games they really like.
More than any misconception, this myth probably best illustrates the
There is a difference in how professionals and amateurs think. Professional
gambler believes that if a game is worth betting, it's worth betting
significantly. Professional gamblers typically wager about the
They will receive the same amount for every game they play. The concept of a "best bet" is a
media creation that is foreign to professional sports bettors.
Professional gamblers believe all their bets are good ones; that's why
They make them.
Myth #7: Bettors may win if they concentrate on a particular conference, division, or region.
It's unlikely. Not enough to be an expert in one area.
because the NFL schedule demands that teams play half their games
outside their own division. Knowing the strength of a team is worthless
If you don't know the strength of your opponent, it is difficult to win.
Myth #8 - Statistical betting trends are important.
Technical analysis may be popular but it's hardly meaningful.
Professional bettors put little faith in the favorite/underdog,
home/away point spread analysis that so often is cited by gridiron
"handicappers." It's another way of back fitting that is being dismissed.
Wisdom is a gift for the shrewd.
Myth #9: It's never wise to bet on rumors
Yes, it is. For example, if a professional bettor hears a rumor that
Peyton Manning has the flu and is too ill to play quarterback for the
Colts, he'll bet quickly on Indianapolis' opponent. If the rumor's true
Correct, the gambler took the line in a game that was certain to win
change. If the rumor is false, then he's played Indianapolis' opponent
at a fair price. The lines are generally accurate so the bettors have little to no risk.
please click the following article There is a risk of losing your money if you chase rumors.
These myths are not true in the NFL world, so you will have a better chance of winning NFL football betting games.